Aerial view of an Antarctic blue whale exhaling at the surface among sea ice
An Antarctica InSync Working Group

Antarctica's Lost Giants

Antarctic blue whales were hunted to the edge of extinction in the twentieth century. Much remains unknown about this critically endangered species. An international collaboration is setting out to answer a simple, urgent question: how many are left, and where do they go?

< 5,000
Antarctic blue whales estimated alive, less than 2% of their pre-whaling abundance
20+ yrs
since the last circumpolar research cruise
12
countries collaborating through Antarctica InSync
Population estimate: Rand et al. (2026), Endangered Species Research  ·  Image: Paula Olson
Overview & Goals

The largest animal on Earth, and one of the least understood

The Antarctic blue whale (Balaenoptera musculus intermedia) is a true ocean-giant: the largest animal on the planet. Twentieth-century whaling drove it to the brink, and despite protection since 1964 it remains classified Critically Endangered by the IUCN. Circumpolar surveys run between 1978 and 2004 recorded just 107 confirmed sightings across the entire Southern Ocean. No large-scale survey has been repeated since — so new data are needed to confirm whether the population is recovering, holding steady, or still declining.

Antarctic blue whale surfacing to feed in sub-Antarctic waters, with snow-capped mountains behind
Antarctic blue whale feeding in sub-Antarctic waters.Image: Amy Kennedy
IUCN · Critically Endangered Also studying: Southern Hemisphere fin whale, B. physalus quoyi Coordinated with Antarctica InSync · UN Ocean Decade

Four questions we're finally able to ask at scale

By pooling photo-identifications, acoustic detections and tagging data from research vessels, platforms of opportunity and tourist expeditions right across the Southern Ocean, this project can attempt something no single institution could manage alone.

01

How many are there now?

Mark-recapture analysis of photo-identifications — each whale's skin mottling is as unique as a fingerprint — will deliver a new circumpolar abundance estimate.

02

Where do they breed?

Satellite tagging and genetics will trace migration to low-latitude winter breeding grounds spanning the Indian, Atlantic and Pacific oceans, and test whether these populations are genetically distinct.

03

Where do they feed?

Satellite tagging and prey surveys alongside whale surveys will map where krill and blue whale distributions overlap, and what habitat conditions they favour.

04

How much krill do they need?

Drone photogrammetry, dive tags and biopsies will estimate feeding rates and body condition — important evidence for setting sustainable krill fishery catch limits.

The Science

How you find a whale that was hunted to near-silence

Antarctic blue whales are remote, wide-ranging, and rarely encountered. The project combines methods that work at very different scales — from a single skin sample to years of acoustic recordings — to build a picture no one technique could give alone.

Antarctic blue whale flank showing the unique mottled pigmentation used for photo identification

Photo identification

Lateral photos of dorsal fins and flank pigmentation, matched against the global blue whale catalogue for mark-recapture abundance estimates.

Image: Paula Olson

An acoustician wearing headphones monitors listening equipment and laptops in a ship's acoustics station

Passive acoustics

Sonobuoys track the loud, low-frequency calls unique to blue and fin whales — a proven way to locate this rarely-seen species.

Acoustician Susie Calderan at work. Image: Kirstin Jones.

Map of satellite-tag tracks from Antarctic blue whales in the Southern Ocean, coloured by date in 2013

Satellite & short-term tags

Long-term telemetry reveals migratory routes and breeding grounds; short-term tags capture fine-scale feeding behaviour.

Satellite tracks of Antarctic blue whales, 2013. Source: V. Andrews-Goff et al., 2022, Biodiversity Data Journal 10: e94228

A researcher on a boat deck reaching up to catch a drone fitted with flotation pods

Drone photogrammetry

Overhead drone imagery measures body size and condition — a proxy for feeding success across the summer season.

Emilie Stepien catching a UAV. Image: Kirstin Jones

A researcher in a helmet and yellow jacket on a boat holds a biopsy dart, with snow-capped mountains behind

Skin & blubber biopsy

Minimally-invasive samples reveal sex, genetic identity, diet and pregnancy status via hormone analysis.

Scott Baker with blue whale biopsy sample. Image: Martin Collins.

Passengers photographing the ocean from the bow of an expedition ship at sunset

Platforms of opportunity

Working with IAATO tour operators to collect photo-ID from expedition vessels, engaging Antarctic visitors as citizen scientists.

Image: Karsten Bidstrup/Hurtigruten

Sightings → GBIF Photo-ID → Happywhale & IWC catalogue Tracks → public live tracker Genetics → GenBank
Where We're Looking

Recent hotspots, and feeding grounds still waiting for a return

Recent surveys suggest blue whales mostly aggregate around a handful of productive "hotspots." Other historic, heavily hunted feeding grounds, have shown little sign of recovery — a contrast this project aims to explain.

Map of Antarctica and the Southern Ocean showing Antarctic blue whale hotspots (blue whale icons: South Georgia, Maud Rise, Northern Weddell Sea, Davis Sea, Somov Sea and Northern Ross Sea) and historic grounds not yet recovered (red icons: Bransfield Strait and South Shetland Islands), with the Southern Boundary of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current as a dashed line

Click the map to enlarge.

A dense swarm of Antarctic krill underwater
Antarctic krill — the whales' sole food source.Source: The Ozone Hole
Current hotspots
Whales are being sighted again in these productive, krill-rich waters — priority sites for dedicated survey effort.
Historic grounds, not yet recovered
Heavily whaled in the twentieth century, these areas have seen little sign of blue whales returning — a puzzle the project wants to understand.
A blue whale surfacing with its mouth open to feed, calm grey sea behind
Feeding blue whales from 2013 survey off Queen Maud Land.Image: University of Pretoria Mammal Research Unit
Timeline

From launch to a new circumpolar estimate

2026 – 2027

Launch, fundraising & hotspot mapping

Project website and media campaign launch to build funder and community interest. The Australian Antarctic Division analyses three decades of sightings and acoustic data to identify priority survey hotspots, while the team secures vessels — dedicated charters, IAATO expedition ships and other Antarctica InSync platforms — for the field season ahead.

2028

Voyage planning & early migration studies

Equipment purchased and shared, protocols finalised, and outreach materials prepared with IAATO. Related lower-latitude studies (Sept–Oct) satellite-tag and biopsy whales migrating south, ahead of the main field season.

2028 – 2029

Circumpolar field season

Coordinated research voyages across the Southern Ocean, Nov 2028 – March 2029: passive acoustics, photo-ID, satellite tagging, biopsies, drone photogrammetry and prey surveys, alongside participating IAATO expedition vessels.

2029

Winter breeding-ground studies

Lower-latitude fieldwork (May–Oct) tracks whales to their wintering grounds, gathering genetic identity and body-condition data after the feeding season.

2029 – 2030

Analysis

Habitat use, sex, pregnancy status, body mass gain and krill consumption are analysed, and abundance is estimated using mark-recapture.

2030

Results to IWC & CCAMLR

Findings delivered to the IWC and CCAMLR Scientific Committees, informing krill catch limits, MPA proposals and the global assessment of blue whale recovery from whaling.

Team & Partners

A genuinely global collaboration

More than thirty researchers across twelve countries are contributing to Lost Giants, with strong links into the IWC, CCAMLR and SCAR scientific committees.

A pair of Antarctic blue whales surfacing together in the Weddell Sea
A pair of Antarctic blue whales, Weddell Sea.Image: Ted Cheeseman
JJ

Dr Jen Jackson

Convenor · British Antarctic Survey, UK

Cetacean researcher and geneticist with 15 years of Southern Ocean experience; former eight-year chair of the IWC's Southern Hemisphere sub-committee.

HH

Prof Helena Herr

Convenor · University of Hamburg & Alfred Wegener Institute, Germany

Marine mammal ecologist specialising in whale population recovery, with a focus on Southern Ocean fin whales; current chair of the IWC's Southern Hemisphere sub-committee.

NK

Dr Nat Kelly

Convenor · Australian Antarctic Division, Australia

Statistician specialising in whale and krill survey design, and long-term delegate to the IWC Scientific Committee.

United Kingdom

  • British Antarctic Survey
  • International Fund for Animal Welfare
  • Scottish Association for Marine Science
  • University of Southampton

Australia

  • Australian Antarctic Division
  • University of Tasmania

USA

  • NOAA Southwest Fisheries Science Center
  • Happywhale
  • University of Washington

New Zealand

  • University of Auckland
  • Department of Conservation
  • Blue Planet Marine

South Africa

  • University of Pretoria
  • Dept of Forestry, Fisheries & the Environment
  • AfriSeas

Chile

  • Centro de Conservación Cetacea
  • CEAZA
  • Blue Whale Center

Brazil

  • Federal University of Rio Grande
  • Instituto Aqualie

Argentina

  • Fundación Cethus

Germany

  • University of Hamburg / AWI

Denmark

  • University of Aarhus

Saudi Arabia

  • National Center for Wildlife

Ukraine

  • National Antarctic Scientific Centre

Institutional partners

News & Roadmap

Where things stand in 2026

2026

Lost Giants goes public

Formally launched as an Antarctica InSync Working Group, with this website and an accompanying media campaign across our member institutes.

2026

Hotspot mapping under way

The Australian Antarctic Division is analysing three decades of Southern Ocean sightings and acoustic data to pinpoint where dedicated survey effort will count most.

2026

Building the fleet

Engaging vessel operators and IAATO expedition ships to secure platforms for the 2028/29 field season, and raising funds for dedicated small-boat work.

Ongoing

Update meetings

The working group meets every two months, with progress reported quarterly to SCAR, the IWC and CCAMLR scientific committees.

Contact

Partner with the project

Lost Giants is actively seeking funding, vessel partnerships and collaboration through 2026 and beyond. Get in touch with the project team at Lostgiants.Antarctica@gmail.com.